How can we verify the predictive performance of ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts?

How can we verify the predictive performance of ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts?

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Contributed by Zeqing Huang and Tongtiegang Zhao This blog aims to contribute to the large scientific discussion on the performance assessment of ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts. We are particularly driven by the valuable global precipitation and temperature forecasts generated by global climate models (GCMs) (Pappenberger and Buizza, 2009; Kirtman et al., 2014; Bauer et al., 2015; Becker et al., 2020; Crochemore et al., 2021). Their forecasts have been widely used in hydrological modeling and water resources management, including flood warning  (Alfieri…

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Hydrological forecasting & more at EGU 2022

Hydrological forecasting & more at EGU 2022

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Happy New Year! We’ve got a new year resolution for you: submit an abstract to EGU22! The EGU 2022 Annual General Assembly will take place from 3–8 April 2022. To adapt to the COVID-19 situation, this event will be hybrid with remote and in-person elements. It will be a great opportunity to find out about the latest scientific advances and to socialize with friends and colleagues virtually and in Vienna. This year again, the EGU HS Hydrological Forecasting subdivision is…

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New resource collection: value of ensembles in hydrometeorological forecasting

New resource collection: value of ensembles in hydrometeorological forecasting

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Earlier this year, Early Career HEPEX (EC-HEPEX) collaborated with the Early Warning Systems Young Professionals (EWS YP) network, to take part in their “12 months of EWS” initiative on Twitter and LinkedIn. Each month, they highlight a topic relevant to the EWS community by compiling and sharing a collection of useful resources. You can check out the whole collection on their Padlet or Twitter @EWS_YP #12monthsEWS, and find out more about the network here.  For the HEPEX contribution, we put…

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“Hydrological Constellations”: a science & art piece

“Hydrological Constellations”: a science & art piece

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Contributed by Louise Arnal (artist & scientist; postdoctoral fellow at the University of Saskatchewan) From 29 June to 1 July 2021, the joint workshop “Connecting global to local hydrological modelling and forecasting: scientific advances and challenges”, co-organized by ECMWF – CEMS – C3S – HEPEX – GFP, was held virtually. As a scientist and artist, I wanted to participate and reflect on the topics explored during the workshop with both my scientist and artist hats on. With the support of…

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Getting the early career HEPEX initiative off the ground

Getting the early career HEPEX initiative off the ground

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On 7 May 2021, 32 early career scientists and young professionals from 17 different countries met online for the kick-off meeting of a new early-career initiative: EC-HEPEX! EC-HEPEX is part of the wider HEPEX community and aims to bring together people in the early stages of their careers related to hydrological prediction, working as a space for communication, collaboration and the sharing of ideas. Learn more about the initial vision in our first blog post. To be part of the…

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