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A Month of Storms: Ciara, Dennis and Atmospheric Rivers

A Month of Storms: Ciara, Dennis and Atmospheric Rivers

Contributed by Helen Griffith, Dept of Geography & Environmental Science, University of Reading, UK. February 2020 has been announced as the wettest February on record for most of the UK[1]. The arrival of Storms Ciara and Dennis led to widespread flooding and the recovery is expected to cost the insurance industry over £225m[2]. Saturated soils combined with additional rainfall mean that, at the time of writing, over 100 flood warnings are still in place across England and Wales and the…

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“One thing you need to know about seasonal forecasts”

“One thing you need to know about seasonal forecasts”

Contributed by Rachel Bazile, Marie-Amélie Boucher and Chris White. “It is that they have no skill…” This is how Matt Newman from NOAA’s ESRL referred to seasonal forecasts in his opening presentation at the Second International Conference on Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) / Seasonal to Decadal (S2D) Prediction. Organized by NCAR, the meeting which was held from Sept. 17 to 21 in Boulder, Colorado, had gathered more than 300 international scientists from both the S2S and S2D prediction communities… but…

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