forecast techniques

Helping shape a new flood forecasting service in The wellington region, new zealand

February 5, 2020 Rebecca Emerton Comments 0 Comment

Contributed by Michael Cranston (RAB), Andy Brown (Greater Wellington Regional Council) and Bapon Fakhruddin (Tonkin and Taylor). The flooding challenge in Wellington Greater Wellington Regional Council (GWRC) are embarking on a programme to establish improved flood forecasting services across the Wellington Region on New Zealand’s north island. Flooding is considered New Zealand’s number one natural hazard with flood emergencies estimated to have cost $17 million a year in insurance payments and $15 million in emergency management expenditure between 1968 and…

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GloFAS-ERA5 reanalysis: River discharge ‘maps without gaps’ from 1979-present

January 23, 2020 Rebecca Emerton Comments 0 Comment

Contributed by Shaun Harrigan, ECMWF. In an ideal world we would have river discharge measurements for every river spanning many decades and updated in real time. We all know this is very far from reality with severe gaps in the global observing network (Lavers et al., 2019), and provides a fundamental challenge for hydrological monitoring and forecasting. A way forward pioneered in the field of meteorology and climate is to optimally combine available in situ and satellite Earth system observations…

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HEPEX Advances and Applications at MODSIM

January 15, 2020 Rebecca Emerton Comments 0 Comment

At the 23rd International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2019), from 1-6 December 2019 in Canberra, Australia, a HEPEX session highlighted recent work in hydrometeorological forecasting. Seline Ng from CSIRO discusses HEPEX highlights from MODSIM2019: We are glad to report that our session titled “Advances and applications in hydrometeorological forecasting” at the recent MODSIM2019 conference in Canberra, Australia went well, with a strong showing by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), CSIRO Land & Water and University of Melbourne. Ours…

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HEPEX 2019 Year in Review

December 23, 2019 Rebecca Emerton Comments 0 Comment

In the last HEPEX blog post of the year, we’re taking a look back at our highlights of 2019! This year, we published 25 blog posts, with contributions from HEPEX-ers across the globe. But first of all, a quick reminder of important HEPEX events coming up soon: The abstract deadline for EGU 2019 (3-8 May, Vienna) is fast approaching – don’t forget to submit your abstract by 15th January! Click here for information on the Hydrological Forecasting sub-division over the past 10…

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Flash flooding is a serious threat in the UK – here’s how scientists are tackling its prediction

December 11, 2019 Rebecca Emerton Comments 0 Comment

Contributed by Christopher J White, University of Strathclyde ; Michael Cranston, RAB; Laura Kelly, University of Strathclyde ; Linda Speight, University of Reading. It’s becoming a familiar scene on the news: sodden British people wading through streets up to their knees in flood water. From Stirling to Sheffield, many parts of the UK in 2019 felt the impact of severe surface water flooding – often referred to as flash flooding – that followed torrential rain. As the climate changes and the…

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