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“Are we talking just a bit of water out of bank? Or is it Armageddon?” Front line perspectives on transitioning to probabilistic fluvial flood forecasts in England

“Are we talking just a bit of water out of bank? Or is it Armageddon?” Front line perspectives on transitioning to probabilistic fluvial flood forecasts in England

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Contributed by Louise Arnal, Jess Neumann, Liz Stephens and Hannah Cloke This blog post is based on a paper recently published in Geoscience Communication, written in collaboration with Liz Anspoks, Sue Manson, Tim Norton and Louise Wolfenden from the Environment Agency. With the aim to better anticipate future floods, UK policy is seeing an ongoing shift from flood defence towards a forecast-based flood risk management approach, under the Flood and Water Management Act 2010. It is in this context that…

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HEPEX 2019 Year in Review

HEPEX 2019 Year in Review

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In the last HEPEX blog post of the year, we’re taking a look back at our highlights of 2019! This year, we published 25 blog posts, with contributions from HEPEX-ers across the globe. But first of all, a quick reminder of important HEPEX events coming up soon: The abstract deadline for EGU 2019 (3-8 May, Vienna) is fast approaching – don’t forget to submit your abstract by 15th January! Click here for information on the Hydrological Forecasting sub-division over the past 10…

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Uncertainty quantification, communication practicing and modern pedagogy of hydrological forecasts – A “Παν μέτρον άριστον” approach – Interview with Marie-Amélie Boucher

Uncertainty quantification, communication practicing and modern pedagogy of hydrological forecasts – A “Παν μέτρον άριστον” approach – Interview with Marie-Amélie Boucher

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Contributed by Ilias Pechlivanidis and Marie-Amélie Boucher. Marie-Amélie Boucher has been a HEPEXer since 2007, with a strong involvement in HEPEX-related events, i.e. organizing committee member of the HEPEX 2016 workshop in Québec, and lecturer of the hydrological forecasting course for the Early Career Scientists (ECS) at EGU2017 in Vienna and IAHS 2019 in Montréal, and others. On a scientific level, she is one of the members that brings knowledge to the community on Nordic hydrological processes and forecasting practices…

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Integration of Early Warning Systems and Young Professionals

Integration of Early Warning Systems and Young Professionals

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Contributed by Nilay Dogulu, Lydia Cumiskey and Erika Roxana Meléndez Landaverde Early warning systems (EWSs) help society to prepare for, and respond to, all types of disasters, including those related to hydrometeorological hazards. The recent floods in Mozambique has clearly showed that EWSs are inevitable part of disaster risk management as they can save lives and minimize potential economic and environmental damages. The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030 specifically emphasizes the need to “substantially increase the availability of…

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How model uncertainty, diagnostics & information theory are interconnected in earth sciences – Interview with Hoshin Gupta

How model uncertainty, diagnostics & information theory are interconnected in earth sciences – Interview with Hoshin Gupta

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Contributed by Ilias Pechlivanidis.  Hoshin Gupta’s work is among the most highly cited in the hydrological scientific field, and has received a number of awards and medals, including the 2014 EGU Dalton Medal and 2017 AMS RE Horton Lecture award. Hoshin has for many years been interested in a deeper understanding of models and data to be better used to enhance the learning process of how dynamical environmental systems work. In addition, particularly to many young researchers, Hoshin is well…

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